Dynamic Data Analysis – v5.12.01 - © KAPPA 1988-2017
Chapter
3 – P ressure Transient Analysis (PTA)- p90/743
One element of answer is to calculate a sensitivity. The deconvolution parameters include the
points of the z(
) response, the curvature of this response and the rate changes. Looking in
the Jacobian of the deconvolution matrix we can see the sensitivity of the match to the
individual points of the z(
) response. In Saphir we normalize this and show it as a vertical
sensitivity band for each point of z(
).
This band does not quantify the real, physical, uncertainty. It only provides a blunt statistical
description of the problem around the solution point and answers the question, “By how much
can I move this node until the match is affected?” If the sensitivity is high, we are close to
positive information and the uncertainty band is narrow. If, on the contrary, moving a point up
and down has no or little effect on the global response, then we know that this section of the
response may not be very relevant. In order to illustrate this we have taken two extreme
examples.
Fig. 3.D.28 – Sensitivity representation
single build-up and no pi (1/2)
In the above figure we have done what we should never do: calculate a deconvolution with a
single build-up WITHOUT imposing a value of pi. The problem is completely under-defined,
because we can move the tail end of the deconvolution and get a perfect match of the data by
compensating pi. So the tail end is completely irrelevant and it shows on the sensitivity plot.
In the below left figure, we have run the deconvolution with the two build-ups of the original
example. We let pi be calculated by the deconvolution process. As one can see, the sensitivity
is much better, but intermediate behavior could have been different. What made the
deconvolution pick the selective curve was its smoothness. Now, in the right side figure the
same deconvolution was run but the value of pi was fixed. This makes the sensitivity graph
even better.
Fig. 3.D.29 – Sensitivity representation
two build-ups and no pi
Fig. 3.D.30 – Sensitivity representation
two build-ups and pi